What will an ounce of gold be worth in 2025?

The forecast for the price of gold for 2025 is largely an extrapolation of the current year's influential factors. Earlier this year, Goldman Sachs indicated that the commodity bull market observed last year is likely to continue throughout the current year and beyond. In fact, the investment bank maintains that the commodity supercycle will last about 10 years. Gold should continue to be sought as a safe haven if there is significant uncertainty about future interest rate levels.

In addition to this expected “turn”, there are other unavoidable realities that should presage an increase in gold prices. The improvement in risk appetite and the prospects for stimuli to decrease along the line have limited future increases in gold. Global economic growth, inflation rates, U.S. Treasury yield, interest rate policies and geopolitical risks affect the price of gold.

In fact, the winter months, from December to February, tend to be the strongest time for gold in most years, and the opposite is the case during the summer. Your decision to invest in gold should be based on your risk tolerance, investment objectives, portfolio composition and market experience. For example, if you think there is a bull market for gold, you can add a little more to your gold stocks. Unlike strict graphic technicians, when evaluating the gold market I also include a broader perspective, for example, taking into account monetary dynamics and macroeconomic fundamentals.

Given the cyclical nature of the markets, the upward movement in gold prices is likely to remain intact for several more years. This is because current economic conditions will give us a clearer idea of where the price of gold will go. This allows us to make some important assumptions about what the price of gold will do in the coming years. As a result, analysts and algorithm-based price prediction services can and do make mistakes in their predictions of the price of gold.

A feasible forecast of the price of gold for 2030 is based on the movements of the US dollar due to the existing inverse correlation. In the short term, the negative impact of these trade tensions has only caused a modest response from the price of gold. This causes investors to seek to park their wealth on more finite assets, such as real estate, art and gold.